FOOD SCIENCE ›› 2005, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (12): 118-123.

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Surviving Probability Modeling on the Growthno-growth Interface of Escherichia coli, Salmonella enterica and Staphylococcus aureus Henrici in Fresh Apple Juices

 LI  Jun, WANG  Zheng-Fu, GE  Yi-Qiang, HU  Xiao-Song   

  1. 1.Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine;2.Department of Food Engineering, Hebei Normal University of Science and Technology;3. College of Food Science and Nutritional Engineering, China Agricultural University
  • Online:2005-12-15 Published:2011-10-01

Abstract: By means of three five-level variables for Central Composite Design (CCD), the growth and no growth situations of three strains, Escherichia coli, Salmonella enterica and Sarcina aurea Henrici under different conditions of temperature, pH and water activity (Aw) were studied with two-valued variables. Three mathematical models to predict the relations between the surviving probability and the growth control factors were established with Logistic Regression processing, and with the models the constraint conditions of bacteria survived in fruit juices were determined, and the coordinated effects of pH, Aw and temperature under critical conditions were analyzed. The predicted outcomes with the predicting models agreed with the experimental results for the above mentioned three bacteria. The surviving probability isoline under the conditions of 0.98 Aw with p=0.1 Could be used as a critical line of the bacteria surviving critical conditions to identify the pathagenic bacteria in the fresh apple juices.

Key words: fresh apple juice, pathogenic bacteria, growthno-growth probability predictive model